Inflation and Growth Expectations and Forecast Uncertainty
Release Date: Today
Historical Expectations and Uncertainty
Percent
Expectation | Start | <= 1 yr | > 1 yr | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Expectation | ||||
| CPI Inflation | 06/1946 | xlsx | xlsx |
GDP Deflator | 03/1967 | xlsx | xlsx | |
Real GDP | 03/1967 | xlsx | xlsx | |
Nominal GDP | 12/1951 | xlsx | xlsx | |
University of Michigan | 1-yr | 5-yr | ||
Mean | 01/1978 | xlsx | xlsx | |
Median | 01/1978 | xlsx | xlsx | |
Forecast/Survey Uncertainty (Inter-quartile range) | <= 1 yr | > 1 yr | ||
CPI | 06/1946 | xlsx | xlsx | |
GDP Deflator | 07/1967 | xlsx | xlsx | |
Real GDP | 03/1968 | xlsx | xlsx | |
Nominal GDP | 12/1951 | xlsx | xlsx | |
1. Sources: University of Michigan; Philadelphia Fed; and Capital Markets Data.
2. This page distributes summary measures of expectations regarding inflation and real and nominal GDP growth. The measures are a mean over several surveys, almost all of which are maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. These surveys and forecasts come from the Survey of Professional Forecasters, The Livingston Survey, The Greenbook Forecasts, and The University of Michigan Inflation Expectations.